
| Course Code | : İKP604 |
| Course Type | : Area Elective |
| Couse Group | : Third Cycle (Doctorate Degree) |
| Education Language | : Turkish |
| Work Placement | : N/A |
| Theory | : 3 |
| Prt. | : 0 |
| Credit | : 3 |
| Lab | : 0 |
| ECTS | : 5 |
To provide an advanced understanding of the core principles of time series analysis. To ensure students are competent in the use of time series methods, and are familiar with the relevant statistical software. To introduce to students an appreciation of recent developments in time series analysis, and of the links between the theory of the topics and their practical application in various industries. To develop knowledge, understanding and skills in applied computing and statistics.
Stationary processes, autoregressive and moving average processes, trend, seasonality, model building, estimation and forecasting, spectral analysis and estimation, Kalman filtering and predictions, higher-order spectral analysis, nonlinear and non-Gaussian time series, weakly and strictly stationary stochastic processes, ergodic and ensemble theory, time and frequency domain, spectral decomposition theory, multivariate spectra, estimation and inference of non-stationary time series.
| Assoc. Prof. Şahin BULUT |
| 1. | Apply the appropriate techniques to make better forecasts and identify trends, seasonal changes, and cycles in data. |
| 2. | Understand how to choose the right forecasting model. |
| 3. | Become familiar with classification and formulation of advanced time series metthods. |
| 4. | Analyze the stationarity and characteristics of time series models. |
| 5. | Apply time series analysis in various forecasting problems and interpret and report the results of prediction and forecasting. |
| 1. | Bisgaard, S. & Kulahci, M. (2011). Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by Example, John Wiley & Sons |
| 2. | Harris, R. & Sollis, R. (2003). Applied Time Series Modelling and Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons |
| Type of Assessment | Count | Percent |
|---|---|---|
| Midterm Examination | 1 | %40 |
| Final Examination | 1 | %60 |
| Activities | Count | Preparation | Time | Total Work Load (hours) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecture - Theory | 14 | 2 | 3 | 70 |
| Individual Work | 14 | 1 | 2 | 42 |
| Midterm Examination | 1 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| Final Examination | 1 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| TOTAL WORKLOAD (hours) | 131 | |||
PÇ-1 | PÇ-2 | PÇ-3 | PÇ-4 | PÇ-5 | PÇ-6 | PÇ-7 | |
OÇ-1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
OÇ-2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
OÇ-3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
OÇ-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
OÇ-5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |