Information Package / Course Catalogue
Time Series Analysis
Course Code: EFN571
Course Type: Area Elective
Couse Group: Second Cycle (Master's Degree)
Education Language: Turkish
Work Placement: N/A
Theory: 3
Prt.: 0
Credit: 3
Lab: 0
ECTS: 5
Objectives of the Course

The aim of the course is to give students the ability to understand, apply and interpret time series techniques commonly used in economics and finance.

Course Content

Difference Equations, Stability Analysis, Autocorrelation and Partial Autocorrelation Functions, ARIMA Models, ARCH-GARCH Models, Multivariate Time Series Models

Name of Lecturer(s)
Learning Outcomes
1.To be able to analyze economic and financial data.
2.To be able to determine the most appropriate model for the data.
3.It is provided to predict by establishing appropriate time series models.
4.Hypothesis Test Information Regarding Parameters
5.To be able to interpret the estimated models
Recommended or Required Reading
1.Chang, A. C. ve K. Wanwright, 2005, Matematiksel İktisadın Temel Yöntemleri, McGraw-Hill, International Eidton
2.M. Sevüktekin, M. Nargeleçekenler, “Econometric Time Series Analysis”, 3. Baskı, Nobel Yayın Dağıtım
Weekly Detailed Course Contents
Week 1 - Theoretical
Introduction to Difference Equations, First Order Difference Equations
Week 2 - Theoretical
Solution of Two and Higher Degree Equations and Balance Analysis
Week 3 - Theoretical
Trend, Unit Root and Stationarity in Time Series
Week 4 - Theoretical
Unit Root Tests, Structural Breaks, Trend Elimination
Week 5 - Theoretical
Correlation, Autocorrelation Functions
Week 6 - Theoretical
Partial Autocorrelation Functions
Week 7 - Theoretical
Box-Jenkins and Other Model Determination Methods
Week 8 - Intermediate Exam
Midterm
Week 9 - Theoretical
ARIMA Models
Week 10 - Theoretical
Model Estimation Methods
Week 11 - Theoretical
Hypothesis Testing
Week 12 - Theoretical
Introduction to Variability Models
Week 13 - Theoretical
ARCH-GARCH Models and Estimation Methods
Week 14 - Theoretical
Multivariate Time Series
Week 15 - Theoretical
Hypothesis Tests, Impact-Response Functions
Week 16 - Final Exam
Final Exam
Assessment Methods and Criteria
Type of AssessmentCountPercent
Midterm Examination1%40
Final Examination1%60
Workload Calculation
ActivitiesCountPreparationTimeTotal Work Load (hours)
Lecture - Theory142370
Individual Work72228
Midterm Examination110111
Final Examination115116
TOTAL WORKLOAD (hours)125
Contribution of Learning Outcomes to Programme Outcomes
PÇ-1
PÇ-2
PÇ-3
PÇ-4
PÇ-5
PÇ-6
PÇ-7
PÇ-8
PÇ-9
OÇ-1
3
4
3
4
5
4
3
3
4
OÇ-2
4
3
4
3
3
4
4
3
3
OÇ-3
4
3
4
4
4
3
4
3
4
OÇ-4
3
4
4
3
3
4
3
4
3
OÇ-5
4
5
3
4
3
3
4
5
4
Adnan Menderes University - Information Package / Course Catalogue
2026